Background of the study

Historical demography is commonly defined as the application of conventional and non-conventional demographic techniques to data sets from the past (Pressat and Wilson 1985; Smith 2003). Its primary aim is to obtain detailed demographic information and measure demographic changes such as changes in population size, age structure, sex ratio, fertility, mortality, and migration for populations in the past. While estimating the total population in a particular historical setting can be regarded as historical demography at its crudest level, the application of demographic methods to historical source materials and the information generated by such application can be far more elaborate.

Historical demography is closely related to, but differs from, demographic or population history. The former concentrates largely on obtaining the detailed and accurate demographic information for historical populations that provides the foundation for the study of demographic or population history. The latter includes historical demography as a field of enquiry, but covers wider research areas. Demographic history investigates not only the process of past population changes, but also the interrelationship between these changes and a wide range of socio-economic, political, cultural and environmental factors. In general, historical demography tends be more involved in tackling the technical problems of measuring past demographic changes and developing effective methods of analysing historical population data, whereas demographic history is more concerned with the reasons, processes and consequences of major demographic events, especially their long-term impact on socio-economic changes and historical development.

Population changes interact closely with, and play a major part in, political, social and economic changes. Through offering detailed and reliable demographic information about past societies, historical demography can greatly improve our knowledge of history and population history in particular. One of such examples is E. A. Wrigley and R. S. Schofield’s monumental work The Population History of England 1541-1871 (1981). This study, based on extensive empirical evidence and demographic estimates, systematically examines population trends in England over a period of more three hundred years and the population theory proposed by Thomas Robert Malthus (1766-1834). The comprehensive analysis presented in this book provides great insights into demographic patterns and their interplay with socio-economic conditions in the time before and during the industrial revolution. The impact of this work has been felt far beyond the disciplinary confines of historical demography or population history.

While a distinction between historical demography and demographic history can be and has been made by some scholars, it is difficult in practice to draw a clear line between the two approaches and their practitioners. Demographic historians often need to have detailed and accurate demographic information as the foundation for their investigation into population history. Equally, historical demographers also want to examine socio-economic reasons for population changes and the impact of such changes on the society. Because of the close connection between the two disciplines, the discussion presented in this chapter will not be confined within the area narrowly defined by historical demography.

Historical demography is a major component of demography that studies population changes, but it is primarily concerned with applying demographic methods to population data from the past. Demographers wishing to test a proposed hypothesis on contemporary population can, at least theoretically, always collect the data they need according to their research design. Historical demographers, however, have to use existing data – they cannot go back in time to collect the required data. The available data may not have been collected for the purpose of demographic research; they may suffer from various types of registration problems or biases that are often related to the rules or procedures applied in creating the data. This makes historical demographic research a more challenging task than the study of contemporary population issues. For this reason, historical demographers often need to develop new techniques or modify conventional demographic methods so that they can be effectively used in analysing surviving historical data – a point that will be further discussed in section four of this chapter.

Historical demography has made a significant contribution to the development of demography. Through enriching the knowledge about demographic behaviour and population changes in the past, historical demography helps us to gain a better understanding of demographic trends in contemporary societies and future. Louis Henry (1911-1991), the founding father of historical demography, once suggested that, to answer the two questions about population changes that intrigued demographers in the mid-twentieth century, “Where are we?” and “Where are we headed?” we should begin by answering a third, “Where were we yesterday and the day before?”. This reference to the past is, he said, essential for it alone can tell us about the day after (Rosental 2003: 98). The importance of historical demography to the development of demography does not stop here, however. After the Second World War, there was a considerable increase in the interest in population issues throughout the world, and demography as an academic discipline entered a period of rapid development. Mortality and fertility, which had decreased notably in the nineteenth century and the first half of the twentieth century, fell to low levels in most developed countries.

These countries had well-established vital registration systems and conducted regular censuses and population surveys. Population data obtained through these modern-day efforts were, however, simply insufficient for uncovering the process of demographic transition and people’s demographic behaviour in the pre-transition society – both of which were of overriding importance to the development of demographic theories and the understanding of population changes of the time. Even in countries where detailed mortality and fertility data had been collected during the process of their demographic transition, those available to researchers were usually limited to published census or survey results. Public release of original census or vital registration records was often prohibited for long periods after the records were taken, whilst some countries destroyed the records altogether because of privacy concerns. Such practices gave historical demography a unique opportunity to fill important gaps in demographic research. As we shall see, the investigation of population changes in the past has contributed to the development of many important and widely used population theories, analytical models and demographic techniques.

Statement of the problem

Demographic change is one of the key challenges today for urban development together with globalization, knowledge/technological shift, climate change and the development of the green economy, inclusiveness and poverty. Strategic solutions cannot be based on addressing one of these factors alone but must take into account the interplay of these elements within a particular local area of development (urban or rural). At the same time that there are important challenges to be addressed, there are also opportunities to be fostered such as the development of the “silver” economy of older entrepreneurs, the “white” economy for medical services for the elderly population, or the natural “green” advantage of shrinking areas. However, policy responses are still fragmented and there is no articulation of a sustainable answer to ensure and increase the quality of life in the light of these changes. 1.3   Objectives of the study 1. To deduce the history of development and its impact on the demographic change of Lagos state. 1.4   Research questions 1. Does development impacts on the demographic change of Lagos state? 1.5   Research hypothesis Ho: Development does not impact on the demographic change of Lagos state. Hi:Development impacts on the demographic change of Lagos state 1.6   Significance of the study Historical demography is an important component of demography. Its aim is to obtain detailed information about population changes and people’s demographic behaviour in the past through applying demographic methods to historical data. Historical demography has made a significant contribution to the development of demography. Through enriching the knowledge about demographic behaviour and population changes in the past, historical demography helps us to gain a better understanding of demographic trends in contemporary societies and future 1.7   Scope of the study This research work is on the history of development and demographic change in Lagos state. Lagos state is used as case study due to representative nature of Lagos state to other developing states in Nigeria and proximity to the researcher. 1.8   Limitations of the study This study has some limitations most especially in the area of data collection. Financial constraints, as well as time available for the completion of the study, are among other factors that would limit the scope of the study. 1.9   Definition of terms Development: The act or process of growing or causing something to grow or become larger or more advanced. Demography:The study of statistics such as births, deaths, income, or the incidence of disease, which illustrate the changing structure of human populations. Change:An act or process through which something becomes different. Lagos State:  Is a state located in the southwestern geopolitical zone of Nigeria.





Researchwap.com is an online repository for free project topics and research materials, articles and custom writing of research works. We’re an online resource centre that provides a vast database for students to access numerous research project topics and materials. Researchwap.com guides and assist Postgraduate, Undergraduate and Final Year Students with well researched and quality project topics, topic ideas, research guides and project materials. We’re reliable and trustworthy, and we really understand what is called “time factor”, that is why we’ve simplified the process so that students can get their research projects ready on time. Our platform provides more educational services, such as hiring a writer, research analysis, and software for computer science research and we also seriously adhere to a timely delivery.


Please feel free to carefully review some written and captured responses from our satisfied clients.

  • "Exceptionally outstanding. Highly recommend for all who wish to have effective and excellent project defence. Easily Accessable, Affordable, Effective and effective."

    Debby Henry George, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, USA.
  • "I saw this website on facebook page and I did not even bother since I was in a hurry to complete my project. But I am totally amazed that when I visited the website and saw the topic I was looking for and I decided to give a try and now I have received it within an hour after ordering the material. Am grateful guys!"

    Hilary Yusuf, United States International University Africa, Nairobi, Kenya.
  • "Researchwap.com is a website I recommend to all student and researchers within and outside the country. The web owners are doing great job and I appreciate them for that. Once again, thank you very much "researchwap.com" and God bless you and your business! ."

    Debby Henry George, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, USA.
  • "I love what you guys are doing, your material guided me well through my research. Thank you for helping me achieve academic success."

    Sampson, University of Nigeria, Nsukka.
  • "researchwap.com is God-sent! I got good grades in my seminar and project with the help of your service, thank you soooooo much."

    Cynthia, Akwa Ibom State University .
  • "Great User Experience, Nice flows and Superb functionalities.The app is indeed a great tech innovation for greasing the wheels of final year, research and other pedagogical related project works. A trial would definitely convince you."

    Lamilare Valentine, Kwame Nkrumah University, Kumasi, Ghana.
  • "Sorry, it was in my spam folder all along, I should have looked it up properly first. Please keep up the good work, your team is quite commited. Am grateful...I will certainly refer my friends too."

    Elizabeth, Obafemi Awolowo University
  • "Am happy the defense went well, thanks to your articles. I may not be able to express how grateful I am for all your assistance, but on my honour, I owe you guys a good number of referrals. Thank you once again."

    Ali Olanrewaju, Lagos State University.
  • "My Dear Researchwap, initially I never believed one can actually do honest business transactions with Nigerians online until i stumbled into your website. You have broken a new legacy of record as far as am concerned. Keep up the good work!"

    Willie Ekereobong, University of Port Harcourt.
  • "WOW, SO IT'S TRUE??!! I can't believe I got this quality work for just 3k...I thought it was scam ooo. I wouldn't mind if it goes for over 5k, its worth it. Thank you!"

    Theressa, Igbinedion University.
  • "I did not see my project topic on your website so I decided to call your customer care number, the attention I got was epic! I got help from the beginning to the end of my project in just 3 days, they even taught me how to defend my project and I got a 'B' at the end. Thank you so much researchwap.com, infact, I owe my graduating well today to you guys...."

    Joseph, Abia state Polytechnic.
  • "My friend told me about ResearchWap website, I doubted her until I saw her receive her full project in less than 15 miniutes, I tried mine too and got it same, right now, am telling everyone in my school about researchwap.com, no one has to suffer any more writing their project. Thank you for making life easy for me and my fellow students... Keep up the good work"

    Christiana, Landmark University .
  • "I wish I knew you guys when I wrote my first degree project, it took so much time and effort then. Now, with just a click of a button, I got my complete project in less than 15 minutes. You guys are too amazing!."

    Musa, Federal University of Technology Minna
  • "I was scared at first when I saw your website but I decided to risk my last 3k and surprisingly I got my complete project in my email box instantly. This is so nice!!!."

    Ali Obafemi, Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida University, Niger State.
  • To contribute to our success story, send us a feedback or please kindly call 2348037664978.
    Then your comment and contact will be published here also with your consent.

    Thank you for choosing researchwap.com.