TRADE OPENNESS AND OUTPUT GROWTH IN NIGERIA: AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS (1970-2007)
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Title page Approval page Dedication Acknowledgment Abstract Table of contents List of tables and figures CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background of the study 1.1.2 Trade openness and output growth Historical Experience of the Nigeria economy
Statement of the research problem Objectives of the study Statement of the research hypothesis Justification of the Study Significance of the Study Scope and limitation of the study
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1.2 Theory of customs union and free trade areas 2.1.3Models of export-led growth
Empirical literature Limitation of previous studies
CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY
Analytical framework Model specification
3.2.1 Test of stationarity 3.2.2 Test of cointegration 3.2.3 Error correction model 3.3 Justification of the model 3.4 Estimation techniques 3.5 Evaluation Procedure 3.5.1 Economic test (a priori expectation) 3.5.2 Statistical (first-order) test 3.5.3 Econometric (second-order) test 3.6 Sources of data and software for estimation CHAPTER FOUR: PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
Introduction Presentations of regression results
4.2.1Test of stationarity 4.2.2 Test of cointegration 4.2.3 The Error correction model (ECM)
Interpretation and Evaluation of result
4.3.1Evaluation based on economic criteria 4.3.2Evaluation based on statistical criteria 4.3.3 Evaluation based on econometric criteria
Evaluation of the working Hypotheses
CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, POLICY PRESCRIPTION AND CONCLUSION
Summary Policy Recommendations
APPENDIX I APPENDIX II APPENDIX III (A) APPENDIX III (B) APPENDIX III(C) APPENDIX III (D) APPENDIX III (E) APPENDIX III (F) APPENDIX IV APPENDIX V APPENDIX VI APPENDIX VII APPENDIX VIII APPENDIX IX APPENDIX X APPENDIX XI APPENDIX XII
LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES Figure 1: Growth Rate of Real GDP Figure 2: Trend of Real GDP Figure 3: Growth of Export and Import Figure 4: The Degree of Openness Table 1: Openness Indicators Table 2: A Priori Expectation Table 3: Results of Model 1 Table 4: Results of Model 2 Table 5: Results of Stationarity test Table 6: Results of Cointegration test Table 7: Results of the Error Correction Model Figure 5: Non- Monotonic Relationship between TPN and RGDP Table 8: Summary of the T-Test Table 9: Pair-Wise Correlation Matrix
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